制止戰火蔓延

譯者前言：

《Lancet》是一本相當權威的醫學雜誌，最近一篇研究指出，美國入侵伊拉克這十八個月內，伊拉克死了超過十萬人。這十萬人是根據過去的死亡率做比較，所得出的一個數字。研究者來自美國約翰霍普金斯大學，哥倫比亞大學以及巴格達Al-Mustansiriya 大學，他們指出，這個數字並不是很精確，因為時局混亂，資料取得或取樣上有困難。他們希望國際紅十字會和世界衛生組織能介入，進行更為可信的研究調查。

底下是一個簽署，由比利時的BRussells Tribunal的Jean Bricmont 教授草擬。羅素在1967年和沙特（一個拒領諾貝爾文學獎的法國存在主義哲學家）等人，成立一個民間法庭Russell Tribunal，調查美國在越戰期間的諸多違反人道戰犯罪行，現在比利時這個BRussells Tribunal就是延續羅素當年的作法。美國連續兩年豁免於國際刑事法庭（ICC）的戰犯起訴，但今年起已不再擁有這個為所欲為的特權。

這篇簽署翻成中文如下，如果您認同這些看法，請用英文寄信給 Info@Brusselstribunal.org，標題寫 “I SIGN”，信中附上你的英文或法文德文等名字（中文大概看不懂），以及你的專業背景或工作單位職稱以及國籍等。

陳真 2004.11.3

全文如下：

制止戰火蔓延

十月二十九號《Lancet》醫學期刊一篇研究指出，費盧杰（Falluja）一地的死亡不算在內，自美軍入侵伊拉克這十八個月以來，比不入侵的情況下，多出十萬人死亡。據報導，在伊拉克，百分之八十四的死亡由英美聯軍造成，百分之九十五死於空襲和地面炮火。（路透社，2004.10.28）

戰火不但尚未平熄，甚至只能說剛剛開始。美軍顯然無法用他們那樣的手段，打敗伊拉克人的抵抗，但他們卻不願承認挫敗。美國人憑著自大狂妄，發動這場戰爭，以致聲名狼藉；數十年來卻一心想維持稱霸世界的局面。世局混亂，恐怕比越戰時還嚴重。美軍不可能在伊拉克全身而退，除非他們留下一個友善的政府，但今天，他們卻沒有多少朋友，因為沒有一場民主選舉竟然會產生這樣一個政府。

因此，在這次選舉過後，萬一布希又重返白宮，我們更應正視此一問題的嚴重性。然而，美國民主黨候選人凱瑞，實際上也沒有自伊拉克撤軍的意圖。美國政府打算用盡一切方法來打敗伊拉克人的抵抗。他們藉著操控輿論，妖魔化伊拉克人的抵抗，把它和綁架及謀殺劃上等號，引起阿拉伯世界普遍的反感。

我們要求：美國應面對現實，無條件自伊拉克撤軍，並且認清所謂先發制人的戰爭模式之不可行。有些人認為美軍應該留在伊拉克，直到情勢平穩，但這只是一種幻想；伊拉克情勢之所以難以平穩的障礙，正因為美軍的存在是如此遭人痛恨。

我們要用和平及合法的方式去反對任何軍事作法，反對像越戰那樣，壓制伊拉克人的抵抗。我們也呼籲各國政府，提供那些拒絕在伊拉克服役的美軍難民庇護。我們要盡一切努力來散播各種資訊，反駁美國的戰爭宣傳。我們也將動員世界輿論，就如同 2002 年那樣，要求美國政府放棄他們對伊拉克所施加的各種軍事壓力。

(英文版)可寄給你的外國朋友。

[please read and forward]

Dear all,

Prof. Jean Bricmont, a Belgian scientist, specialist in theoretical physics, and author on politics, who was member of the prosecution at the BRussells Tribunal, has written a short but strong statement “Stop the escalation” (see the text after this message, in English, French and Dutch). It has been signed already by several distinghuised people (see underneath).

We feel that we can’t wait any longer to do something. We hope that you and/or your organisation will sign this letter, giving the call of prof Bricmont the resonance it deserves and he aimed at in writing it.

Now that we know, since the evening of 28th of October 2004, from an article in the Lancet, based on a survey by Johns Hopkins University that at least 100.000 Iraqi civilians died in the war, we feel this petition is urgent, so we send it out now.

We hope you join us in our outcry over the ongoing massacres by signing this petition against the escalation.

Yours in struggle for peace.

Prof.Lieven De Cauter, Dirk Adriaensens, Hana Al Bayaty and Patrick Deboosere, on behalf of the BRussells Tribunal committee.(see www.brusselstribunal.org)

This letter is being distributed with full support of the the World Tribunal on Iraq (see www.worldtribunal.org) of which the BRussells tribunal Committee is part.

If you want to sign, PLEASE REPLY WITH “I SIGN” TO: Info@Brusselstribunal.org, please add your name, profession and country (and organisation if needed). (www.brusselstribunal.org)

please spread as largely as possible.
STOP THE ESCALATION

“Excluding information from Falluja, a Lancet report of october 29 estimates that 100,000 more Iraqis died than would have been expected had the invasion not occurred. Eighty-four percent of the deaths were reported to be caused by the actions of Coalition forces and 95 percent of those deaths were due to air strikes and artillery.”(Reuters, October 28, 2004)

Far from being over, the war in Iraq has only begun. The United States do not seem to be able to defeat the Iraqi resistance with the means they have been using. But neither can they accept their setbacks. The very arrogance with which the war was declared and waged has put all their prestige at stake in Iraq and, thereby, decades of efforts to assure their world domination. The stakes are even greater than in the Vietnam war. The United States cannot get out of Iraq unless they leave behind a friendly government, but today they have so few friends in that part of the world that no democratic election can produce such a government.

As a result, one must seriously anticipate a military escalation after the elections — immediately in case Bush is returned to office, perhaps more gradually should Kerry win. But the Democratic candidate has no more intention than Bush of withdrawing from Iraq. The U.S. government will seek to defeat the resistance by all possible means. The effort is already underway to demonize the resistance in world opinion by associating it with abductions and murders condemned by virtually the whole spectrum of political organizations in the Arab world.

We demand that the United States face up to reality, unconditionally withdraw their troops from Iraq, and draw the necessary conclusions as to the unacceptable nature of preventive war. It is an illusion to ask that the U.S. forces remain until Iraq is pacified or stabilized, because their very presence is so hated that it constitutes the main obstacle to any sort of pacification.

Meanwhile, we affirm that we shall oppose by all peaceful and legal methods every attempt to crush the Iraqi resistance by a military escalation such as was attempted during the Vietnam war. We call on all governments to grant asylum to American military personnel refusing to serve in Iraq. We shall do our best to spread all available information to counter the war propaganda, and we shall try to mobilize world public opinion, as in 2002, to demand that the United States abandon their efforts to impose a military solution on Iraq.

first provisional list of signatories (30.10.04)
Noam Chomsky, author, USA
Jean Bricmont, prof. of theoretical physics and political publicist, writer of this petition, Belgium
Lieven De Cauter, prof of philosophy, Belgium
Patrick Deboosere, demographer, Belgium
Hana Al Bayaty, film maker, Iraq/France
Dirk Adriaensens, SOS Iraq, Belgium
Ayse Berktay, WTI organiser, Turkey
Abdul Ilah Al Bayaty, author, Iraq/France
Haifa Zangana, Iraqi-Kurdish novelist and journalist, Irak/UK
Ahmedzaib Khan Mahsud, Architect / Planner, Doctoral candidate, K. U. Leuven
Dr.Haithem Alshaibani, Prof. of Physics, UAE
tareq aldelaimi, writer and political activist, Iraq
Salah Omar Al Ali, Chief Editor of Al Wifaq Al Democraty, Iraq
Ed Herman, Professor Emeritus of Finance, Pennsylvania, economist and media analyst, USA
Michael Parenti, author, USA
William Blum, author of books on US foreign policy, Washington, DC
Richard Plunz, professor urban design, New York
Pierre Galand, Senator, Belgium
Karen Parker, attorney, USA
Amy Bartholomew, Law professor, Canada
Tom Barry, Policy Director, Interhemispheric Resource Center (IRC), USA
John Saxe-Fernandez, Professor, Mexico
Joachim Guilliard, journalist, Germany
Alkan Kabakcioglu, Posdoctoral Fellow in Physics, University of Padova, Padova, ITALY
Erik Swyngedouw, prof of social geography, Oxford
Ur Shlonsky, Professor Geneva, Switzerland
Xavier Bekaert, theoretical physicist, Paris
Nicolas Boulanger, Chercheur en Physique Theorique, Belgium
Bruno Vitale, physicist, Geneva (Switzerland)
Biju Mathew, Professor, USA
Anton Regenberg, former director of the Brussels Goethe Institute
Anthony Alessandrini, New York University Students for Justice in Palestine, USA
Ayca Cubukcu, Ph.D. student, Columbia University, WTI-New York organizer, New York
Madiha Tahir, student and activist, USA
Rania Jawad, Graduate Student, New York City
Gizem Arikan, Graduate Student, USA
Stephanie Schwartz, New York, NY
Ozlem Altiok, Peace Action of Denton, Texas, USA
Obie Hunt, therapy aide Manhattan Psychiatric Center, USA
Pierre Py, Dictionnaire Historique de la Suisse
Janine Tillmann Py, Switserland
Silvia Cattori, Journaliste, Suisse
Adriana Hernandez Alarcon Mexico Doctor, member and founder of the organization “Not in Our Name Mexico”
Aracely Cortes Galan Mexico, member and founder of the organization “Not in Our Name Mexico”
Federico Campbell, Mexico, Journalist, member and founder of the organization “Not in Our Name Mexico”
Ramses Ancira, Mexico, Jorunalist, member of “Not In Our Name Mexico”·
Rosa Garcia, Mexico, member and founder of the organization “Not in Our Name Mexico”
Gabriel Perez Rendon Mexico Doctor, member and founder of the organization “Not in Our Name Mexico”
Annelies De Backer, Belgium
Griet Boddez, director’s secretary, Belgium
Ariella Masboungi, Architect and urbanist, France
Stefan Boeykens, Architect-Engineer, Leuven, Belgium
Paul Blondeel, urban research and consultancy, Amsterdam
Daniela Peluso, Anthropologist, Canterbury, UK
Erling Fidjestol, social worker, Norway
Kaat Boon, civil engineer architect, Brussels
Elise Christensen, Peace Council, Norway
Catherine Denis, Medecin generaliste, Belgium
Simten Cosar, Ankara, Turkey
Enrique Ferro, Peace Activist, Brussels
Behcet Akalin, Istanbul-Turkey, IT Director
Saul Landau, journalist, USA

(the petition and the list will be on our website soon: www.brusselstribunal.org)